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Ashes of Creation | What percentage of the Game is DONE?
Probably one of the biggest questions. When is Alpha 2? How much of the game is done. Of course, we have no idea, but we can gather all the little details and try to make an educated guess. That is what we do here.
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ashes of creation, intrepid studios, MMO, mmorpg
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Give me your guesses! How much of the game is done? Did I get anything wrong in this video? Is there some other little details that are known that we could use to more accurately guess the progress of the game?
I'm going to go quantum woo here, and say that something like the Heisenberg Uncertainty Principal applies to development time.
It is an immutable law that Development always takes longer than anticipated, even when you anticipate that it will take longer than you anticipate.
Thus, a sort of Zeno's Paradox meets Sisyphus and the Rock applies, as the closer one gets to completion, the more one discovers that needs to be completed.
So really, calender months are a more practical estimate.
Here's my best estimate.
It seems like Alpha 2 might be around the end of the year, so double that to June next year.
Intrepid optimistically wants Alpha 2 over in no more than 6 months, but I suspect that responding to emergent player behavior would want to double that, but that Intrepid would cut the increase to no more than half, so Alpha 2 ends September 2023.
Intrepid plans on Beta 1 and 2 to last only a few months, but I anticipate there is needed testing left from ending Alpha 2 early, so double that, so Betas end and Launch would be March 2024, or the 20th Anniversary of me rage quitting original EverQuest.
But add another three months for delays between Alpha 2 and the two Betas, so actually June 2024.
Which is in itself optimistic. So September 2024.
It's really hard to speculate on alpha 2 release since we have no idea how much is being done by Intrepid but not shown yet.
I'm quite aligned with you but I think it's a bit more far than what you speculate.. let's say Q2-Q3 2023? 😉
I'm gonna guess %60